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Stochastic simulation model

The model used for simulating the evolution of finite populations is a variant of the models described in Bürger et al. (1989) and Wagner (1989). It consists of a stochastic algorithm which handles the genes of each individual according to the life cycle model described in (Bürger et al., 1989). In short the life cycle consists of production of offspring by randomly picking pairs of parents from the pool of individuals that have survived selection. The genome of an offspring is constructed by randomly recombining the genes of the parents and mutating the value representing each gene with probability . Each gene at the locus j is represented as a real valued variable . Mutation occurs by adding a distributed random variable to the current value of the gene: . The pairwise recombination rate is 0.5. The phenotype is represented as a Euclidian vector of two quantitative characters and . The genotypic values of the characters are calculated from the genic values using a linear mapping function (Wagner, 1989): . As in the deterministic models, we assume symmetrical effects on both characters: and if j is odd and if j is even. In all simulations the number of genes is 50, and the average effect of the mutations is adjusted to keep the muational variance for both characters at 0.005 (Lynch, 1988). The adjustment of the mutational effect is done by scaling the b-coefficients. The phenotypic values are calculated by adding to the genotypic values a distributed random variable e, the environmental effect. The fitness is calculated according to Eq. (2). Selection occurs by viability selection. The survival probability of an individual with a given phenotype is determined by dividing its fitness value by where is the phenotypic standard deviation of the first character. This rescaling is done to obtain values between 0 and 1, as required for a probability. For each randomly chosen pair, one offspring is produced, and then another pair is chosen until enough survivors have been produced for staffing the next parental generation.

Each simulation is initialized with a population that has reached a quasi equilibrium under stabilizing selection. The population then evolves in the corridor for 1000 generations. Subsequently, the simulation run lasts 1500 generations and statistics are taken after every 100th generation to decrease autocorrelation between observations. Each parameter combination is tried in 50 simulations. The statistical estimates are thus based on 750 data points each. Statistics are taken from offspring prior to selection. The effective population size is estimated from the variance of family size by the formula

where is the number of parents and is the variance in family size (see Falconer, 1980). The selection intensity is measured by the standarized selection differential.



next up previous
Next: The rate of Up: Finite Population Model Previous: Finite Population Model

Tue Apr 9 13:43:34 EDT 1996