next up previous
Next: Factorizing the rate Up: Finite Population Model Previous: Stochastic simulation model

The rate of phenotypic evolution in the corridor

In Table 4 the average rate of evolution is listed, measured by the average change per generation of the character under directional selection, . The symbol stands for the ensemble average. In this table all simulations are done with populations of 100 parents. Two genetic scenarios are compared, one with a low per locus mutation rate of and one with a high mutation rate of .




The intensity of directional selection ranges from to and the strength of stabilizing selection on the second character equals , 10 or 100, where larger values of correspond to weaker stabilizing selection. Clearly there is a strong relationship between the intensity of stabilizing selection and the rate of evolution along the corridor. This is in contrast to the prediction based on phenotypic evolution equations, assuming constant genetic variance (Wagner, 1988). The effect of stabilizing selection on the rate of evolution is stronger in the low mutaton rate scenario than in the high mutation rate scenario. Furthermore, the effect of stabilizing selection on the rate of evolution interacts with the intensity of directional selection. The impact of stabilizing selection is stronger with weak directional selection than with strong directional selection. However, if one wants to measure the effect of this interaction one has to scale the results with respect to the expected rate of evolution without stabilizing selection on pleiotropic effects.

To compare the results from the corridor simulations with the expected results without stabilizing selection on pleiotropic effects we use the result by Hill (1982), which has recently been shown to be robust (Bürger, 1993). The asymptotic rate of evolution of a single character is predicted to be . The values in Table 5 are the relative rates of evolution, , defined as the average rates of evolution measured in the simulations divided by the expected rate of evolution, based on the effective population size measured during the simulation and the predicted by the mutation rate and the average mutational effect.

These values give the fraction of the maximally possible evolution rate attained in the corridor. We call these values the relative rate of evolution. Only results with the low mutation rate scenario are shown. Twenty-seven parameter combinations are shown, varying the parental population size, the strength of stabilizing selection and the intensity of directional selection. The values range from 4% to 100% of the rate of evolution attainable by a single character without pleiotropic effects. Clearly the relative rate of evolution is higher under weak stabilizing selection than under strong stabilizing selection. Furthermore, the impact of stabilizing selection is stronger with weak than with strong directional selection. With , the relative rate of evolution with is less than 10%, but with it is between 25 to 28%, and about 47% with . However, the values for weak directional and strong stabilizing selection (, ) are exceptional. All the other values are at or above 50% of the expected evolution rate without stabilizing selection on pleiotropic effects. The cases with the very low relative rates are at least one order of magnitude less than in all the other cases. The reason for these low rates is seen in the last column in table 5, where the evolvability criterion for the deterministic model is listed (see above) using the expected allelic effect of the mutation to calculate the criterion. If is less than 0, then there exist multiple stable fixed points along the corridor. This means that evolution along the corridor is only possible by spontaneous peak shifts between successive stable fixed points along the corridor.

In contrast, with , each mutation can increase by selection independently, since the average fitness of the heterozygous genotypes is higher than the original homozygous ones. Another feature of the data presented in Table 5 is that the relative rate of evolution is approximately invariant with population size, i.e., the absolute rate is proportional to (except in the case when ).



next up previous
Next: Factorizing the rate Up: Finite Population Model Previous: Stochastic simulation model

Tue Apr 9 13:43:34 EDT 1996